Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 6.022673 6.630665 7.278580 8.021332 8.850380 9.748530 10.796884
2025-11-30 5.090627 5.940770 6.907660 8.092645 9.511075 11.160923 13.234733
2025-12-07 4.325716 5.298752 6.467391 7.983229 9.910252 12.295203 15.496675
2025-12-14 3.708245 4.732147 6.020141 7.774311 10.124207 13.195972 17.568815
2025-12-21 3.288349 4.349398 5.739615 7.716950 10.493433 14.307686 20.039046
2025-12-28 3.035639 4.148372 5.661690 7.902143 11.189256 15.921422 23.408145
2026-01-04 2.815397 3.961527 5.573422 8.048194 11.827935 17.509803 26.942518
2026-01-11 2.596715 3.750162 5.421708 8.073526 12.274150 18.843888 30.247696
2026-01-18 2.383928 3.524011 5.221282 7.994912 12.537011 19.904080 33.231569
2026-01-25 2.192199 3.310166 5.016019 7.880785 12.718924 20.837335 36.107204
2026-02-01 2.022664 3.114610 4.819168 7.755390 12.859376 21.702690 38.963489
2026-02-08 1.875078 2.940638 4.639869 7.637717 12.993125 22.559646 41.908099
2026-02-15 1.751430 2.798038 4.503572 7.586832 13.251407 23.694313 45.612146
2026-02-22 1.677883 2.732267 4.489431 7.747745 13.912329 25.661264 51.310936
2026-03-01 1.574416 2.607379 4.363330 7.693793 14.162607 26.866082 55.609507
2026-03-08 1.461946 2.458137 4.182157 7.519715 14.159366 27.561145 58.903031
2026-03-15 1.380437 2.356867 4.077523 7.478551 14.411749 28.805763 63.637547
2026-03-22 1.338286 2.322525 4.090839 7.665103 15.146419 31.161544 71.394696
2026-03-29 1.293458 2.279656 4.084297 7.810509 15.809581 33.445998 79.393084
2026-04-05 1.236852 2.210643 4.022562 7.837308 16.218770 35.208940 86.386044
2026-04-12 1.172433 2.122318 3.916778 7.762499 16.393910 36.448360 92.220052
2026-04-19 1.109022 2.031633 3.799627 7.652741 16.477185 37.477417 97.668347
2026-04-26 1.049184 1.943983 3.682193 7.531757 16.520955 38.414375 103.033958